What’s up, everybody – it’s Terrell Furman Jr., back with another edition of Fast Break Bets, powered by Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook.

Let’s get into it. I got three plays for you today – all sharp, all researched, and all ready to sweep the board. Let’s make some money.

Lonzo Ball Over 4.5 Assists (-114)

I’m starting in Cleveland with Lonzo Ball – and I love this prop. Lonzo’s been automatic early this season. Even on a minutes restriction (about 23-24 per game), he’s gone over 4.5 assists in all four games and is averaging six per night.

He’s facing a Toronto team that plays fast and guards nobody. The Raptors are bottom five in opponent points in the paint and missing Jakob Poeltl, leaving their interior wide open. That’s perfect for a passer like Lonzo – push the pace, find cutters, rack up easy dimes.

At -114, this number’s too low. Lonzo’s IQ and playmaking are shining in this system. Expect him to land 5-6 assists with ease.

Evan Mobley Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds (Hard Rock Bet of the Day)

You know we had to have a Hard Rock Bet of the Day, and this one’s all about Evan Mobley.

Mobley’s in a prime spot tonight – both Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen are questionable, which could leave Mobley as the Cavs’ go-to guy. When Mitchell’s out, Mobley steps up – he’s cleared this combo line in 7 of his last 10 games without him.

Toronto’s defense down low is a mess. They’re undersized, allow the fifth-most points in the paint, and give up plenty of second-chance looks. Mobley’s length and touch inside are going to shine.

Even if Allen or Mitchell play, I still like it. If both sit? Smash the over. Mobley Over 30.5 P+R – that’s the Hard Rock Bet special.

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 21.5 Points

All right, time for a get-right spot. After that brutal 2-for-12 night for KAT versus the Bucks, this is the bounce-back we’ve been waiting for.

Chicago’s defense against centers is atrocious. They’re dead last in the NBA, giving up nearly 30 points per game to the position. Everybody’s been torching them – Sabonis, Duren, even Isaiah Stewart dropped 20. KAT’s skill set is built for this matchup. He can pull Vucevic out of the paint, attack off the dribble, or score inside against a soft interior.

He’s also cleared this number in his last three against Chicago: 46, 44, and 32. It’s a perfect setup. KAT over 21.5 points, and don’t be shocked if he flirts with 30+.

Let’s Sweep Friday

Here’s the recap:

• Lonzo Ball – Over 4.5 Assists (-114)
• Evan Mobley – Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds (Hard Rock Bet of the Day)
• Karl-Anthony Towns – Over 21.5 Points

Three plays, three overs, and one mission: get back in the win column and cash all tickets.

Referenced odds and lines are subject to change.

The NFL’s Week 9 slate is packed with intrigue, and the BettingPros crew dug into every edge, trend, and trap across the board. From Bijan’s bounce-back opportunity to Buffalo’s offensive surge and another Tomlin underdog spot, the panel has your sharpest angles covered.

Furman: Falcons +5.5 at Patriots

If betting ugly is an art, Terrell Furman is Picasso. He’s diving straight back into the “Close Your Eyes Special” this week with Atlanta +5.5 at New England.

The Falcons’ defense remains quietly solid, and this matchup plays right into Bijan Robinson’s hands. New England ranks 25th in DVOA against running backs in the passing game, a soft spot that Robinson should exploit early and often. With Michael Penix expected back under center, Atlanta can open things up through the air and keep this game tighter than the odds suggest.

It won’t be pretty, but that’s the point. The Patriots are overvalued off a morale-boosting win, while Atlanta’s defense and versatile backfield can grind out drives. Don’t blink, don’t flinch – just back the birds and hold your breath.

Erickson: Seahawks -3 at Commanders

Nine straight road wins. Ten in a row as road favorites. That’s all you really need to know about Seattle’s travel resume.

Erickson’s laying -3 with the Seahawks and he’s confident that their pass rush will overwhelm a Washington team limping through injuries. The Commanders are down Terry McLaurin, their left tackle is dinged up, and Jayden Daniels may still not be 100%.

Rested off a bye, Seattle checks every box: superior trenches, coaching edge, and historical dominance on the road.

Furman: Steelers +3 vs Colts

You can set your watch to it: Mike Tomlin as an underdog is the trend that refuses to die.

Pittsburgh stumbled last week, but Furman’s betting on the bounce-back. The Steelers are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 as dogs, and the home crowd will be deafening after Green Bay fans took over their stadium.

The Colts’ offense has been humming, but Tomlin’s teams don’t stay down for long. Expect Pittsburgh’s defense to rise up, ugly this game up, and keep it within a field goal – or even steal it late.

Hard Rock Best Bets of the Week

Without further ado, here are our Hard Rock Best Bets of the Week:

Joe Pisapia: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 45.5 Rushing Yards

Seattle’s front has allowed the fewest rushing yards in football. Washington’s offense is stuck in neutral, and game script should force them to the air early. Easy under.

Terrell Furman: Bijan Robinson Over 38.5 Receiving Yards

After last week’s miss, Bijan gets his redemption arc. The Patriots are elite against the run but liabilities in coverage, and Atlanta’s game plan flows through its star back. Don’t stop there – Terrell’s eyeing alt lines at 50 (+160), 65 (+350), and 100 (+1000). Swing for the fences.

Andrew Erickson: Bills Team Total Over 25.5 Points

Buffalo at home is a wagon. Josh Allen torches KC’s secondary again in a must-watch AFC shootout. Fifteen of their last 20 full games have topped 30 points – Erickson says make it sixteen.

Upset Special: Raiders (+134 ML vs Jaguars)

Don’t bury Vegas just yet. Brock Bowers returns this week and adds a new dimension to this offense. Jacksonville’s banged-up and traveling cross-country: a perfect recipe for a home dog surprise in Sin City.

Pisapia’s Parlay of the Week: (+485)

• Chargers -9.5 vs Titans
• Colts ML (-158)
• Jacorei Croskey-Merritt Under 45.5 Rush Yards

Three legs, one tasty ticket. Let’s ride.

Referenced odds and lines are subject to change.

Week 8 of the NFL season brings plenty of storylines, but for us, it’s all about finding the sharpest angles in the betting market. The Hard Rock Best Bets of the Week segment gave us a chance to dig deep into the matchups, and a few plays stood out across the board — from Baker Mayfield’s redemption arc to Bijan Robinson’s rushing potential and a celebration of National Tight End Day.

Erickson: Betting on Baker and the Buccaneers

Tampa Bay burned plenty of bettors last week, but that’s exactly why we’re buying back in. The Buccaneers at -4 are our favorite side this week against the New Orleans Saints. Baker Mayfield’s MVP talk may have cooled after an ugly outing against Detroit, but that just means there’s value on the table. Historically, Mayfield and the Bucs thrive in bounce-back spots — they’ve covered in seven of their last nine road games and are an impressive 12-4 against the spread following a loss.

We expect a chippy divisional matchup — Baker has no love lost for the Saints — and while we’ll miss the classic Mike Evans vs. Marshon Lattimore showdown, there’s still plenty of firepower to believe in Tampa Bay. The Saints’ offense hasn’t been convincing, and with their 2-10 against the spread record as an underdog, they’re a team to fade. This is the “buy the dip” moment for Baker and the Bucs.

Furman: Tight End Day: Dalton Kincaid to Shine

Every year, National Tight End Day offers a reason to celebrate one of football’s most underappreciated positions — and this week, we’re doing just that with Dalton Kincaid at +210 to score an anytime touchdown. The Bills’ rookie has become more integrated into Josh Allen’s offense each week, and he draws the dream matchup: Carolina, the NFL’s worst defense by DVOA against tight ends.

The Panthers have given up production to every tight end they’ve faced, and with Buffalo likely moving the ball at will, Kincaid should have his chances in the red zone. Expect Allen to look for him early and often as the Bills’ offense gets rolling in a get-right spot. Tight end touchdowns and celebration dances? We’re in.

Pisapia: Bijan Going Over

Few players in football are as electric with the ball in their hands as Bijan Robinson, and he’s facing a Miami Dolphins defense that’s leaking yardage at a historic rate. The Dolphins have allowed 1,115 rushing yards, the most in the NFL — no other team has even cracked 1,000. With that in mind, we’re hammering Bijan’s rushing yards over 88.5, even if it feels like a lofty total.

Add in an anytime touchdown and you’ve got a juicy combo that pushes the payout to +135. The matchup, the talent, and the workload all align for Bijan to break out in a big way against a defense that’s struggled to contain dynamic runners all season.

Upset Alert: Backing the 49ers

For our Upset Special of the Week, we’re backing the San Francisco 49ers at +1.5. This pick goes against the grain — even against our buddy Terrell’s earlier lean — but it’s one we’re confident in. Houston’s defense deserves credit, but their offense remains inconsistent, and we’ll side with the team that boasts the best player on the field: Christian McCaffrey.

With George Kittle getting healthier and the Niners’ defense hungry to rebound, we’re betting that San Francisco doesn’t just cover — they win outright.

The Parlay: Chasing Plus Money

To cap off the week, we’re stringing together a three-leg parlay that captures our favorite plays:

• 49ers +1.5
• Bijan Robinson over 88.5 rushing yards
• Colts team total over 30.5 points

That trio combines for a tasty +556 payout. The Colts’ offense continues to impress, and with Tennessee’s defense reeling, we see another big outing coming.

Referenced odds and lines are subject to change.